TERÖR VE TURİZM ARASINDAKİ EKONOMİK İLİŞKİ

Abstract

Threats towards world economies and especially tourism sector increase day by day. The main responsible of these threats is unfortunately terrorism phenomenon and terror activities. So, when looking at the existing studies examining the relationship between terrorism and tourism; it can be seen that terrorism influences countries‟ economic environmental factors directly and/or indirectly, and also it is a critical factor on interrupting tourism industry and decreasing tourism market. With this way, the main aim of this study is to determine the direct relationship between terrorism and tourism income in Turkey and to examine the effects of terrorism incidents in the country economy through tourism incomes using the EVIEWS package program which is frequently used in econometric studies. When the findings of the first and second models are evaluated, it is determined that the existence of the effect of terror index variable on tourism revenues by both short-term regression analysis and long-term Co-Integration and Causality tests of the first model. In the second model, as a result of the long-term co-integration and causality tests conducted in order to determine the effect of tourism revenues on economic growth, it is found that the share of tourism revenues over GDP has long-term cointegration with economic growth and there is a causality relationship between them.